Claimant Count in Trafford

The Claimant Count indicates the number of people claiming benefits principally for the reason of being unemployed. The Claimant Count in Jun 2025 was 30.8% higher than in January 2020. The rate of claimants to residents aged 16 to 64 was 3% in Jun 2025 representing an increment of 0.7% points from January 2020. The number of claimants decreased from April 2021. After an increase in July 2024, the percent has steadily decreased.

Change in the Claimant Count for Trafford compared to January 2020

The Trafford MSOA with the largest share of claims in Jun 2025 was Old Trafford with 14.4% of all claimants within Trafford, almost the double of claims than Gorse Hill, the MSOA with the second largest number of claims. 1/3 of the MSOA has more claims in Jun 2025 compared to Jun 2024, and 5 MSOA had no additional claims. Trafford Park East & Sevenways have the largest increase in number of claims with 35 more, followed by Broadheath & Firsway (25). Old Trafford had a reduction in number of claims with 35 less followed by Timperley East (25) and Davyhulme (20).

Change in the Claimant Count for Trafford's MSOAs

The MSOAs with higher claimant rate in Jun 2025 were Old Trafford with 8%, Gorse Hill with 6.4% and Partington with 5.8%. The MSOAs where the claimant rate have decreased more from Jun 2024 to Jun 2025 was Old Trafford with -0.5% points decrease. The top 2 MSOA with higher rate in Jun 2025, Old Trafford and Partington, had decreased when comparing rate to Jun 2025.

In Trafford, from Jun 2024 to Jun 2025 3 out of 11 of the age bands has decreased the number of claimants. The age band 18-24 had the most increase with 75 more claimants. When considering the reduction of claims the age band 35-39 years had the largest reduction with -60 less claims.

Change in the Claimant Count by age bands in Trafford
Change in the Claimant Count by broad age bands in Trafford

At the start of 2020 the age band 25-34 already had the highest number of claims, however after the effects of the Covid-19 pandemic which started in March 2020 this figure increased more sharply compared to the other age bands. The claimant rate as a proportion of Trafford’s population within each age band showed then a higher increase in the age bands of 16-24 and 25-34 compared to the others. From January 2023 the count and rate of all age bands started to increase but the figures are fluctuating from April 2023. The age groups 35 to 44 and 45 to 54 had an increase on July 2024, followed by a decrease in numbers.

More than half of Trafford’s claimants are residents of 1 quarter of the MSOAs. Around half of the claimants are between 25 and 44 years.

Claimant Count for Trafford's MSOAs by age band

Universal Credit claims in Trafford

The Universal Credit claims in Trafford have increased 137.4% from January 2020 to Jun 2025. The rate of claims as a proportion of people age 16 to 64 increased form 6.1% to 14.5% from January 2020 to Jun 2025. Claimants are migrating from legacy benefits to Universal Credit which replace six means-tested benefits for working-age people: Working Tax Credit, Child Tax Credit, Housing Benefit, Income Support, income-based Jobseeker’s Allowance, and income-related Employment band Support Allowance (ESA).

Change in the Universal Credit claims for Trafford

The Trafford MSOA with the largest share of claims in Jun 2025 was Old Trafford with 12.4% of all Universal Credit claims in Trafford. 26 out of 28 MSOAs have more claims in Jun 2025 compared to Jun 2024. The MSOAs with more additional claims when comparing Jun 2024 to Jun 2025 were Old Trafford (348), Partington (285) and Broadheath & Firsway (230). The MSOAs with more increase in percentage change from Jun 2024 to Jun 2025 were Trafford Park East & Sevenways with 20% change and Urmston East with 19% change.

Change in the Universal Credit claims for Trafford's MSOAs

The MSOAs with higher rates of Universal Credit claims in Jun 2025 were Partington with 38.6% and Old Trafford with 33.2%. The MSOAs where the rate of Universal Credit claims has increased more from Jun 2024 to Jun 2025 were Partington with 5.7% points increase and Old Trafford with 4.4% points increase.

In Trafford from Jun 2024 to Jun 2025 the 60-65 age band has the largest increment in percentage change of Universal Credit claims with 35%. When considering the number of additional claims from Jun 2024 to Jun 2025 the 5-year age band 60-65 years had the highest with 522 more claims however the numbers had increased from age 35 to 65. All age bands had an increment of claims compared to Jun 2024. The age band 16-19 had a 24% change increase compared to Jun 2024.

Change in the Universal Credit claims by age band for Trafford

Following the start of the Covid-19 pandemic in March 2020 the number of claims for all ages rose dramatically from pre-pandemic levels at a similar proportion for all age bands with the age band 16-24 rising faster in May 2020. At the start of 2020 the age band 25-34 had the highest number of claims and also the highest rate maintaining that position after the rise from March 2020 until May 2022 when the 35-44 became the age band with the highest number of claims. The age band 16-24 has the lowest number of claims among the other age bands from July 2021. All the age bands are increasing their number of claims particularly from January 2023, however ages 16 to 34 had remained more stable.

The Conditionality regimen for entitlement to Universal Credit is associated to work-related things that claimants will have to do to maintain eligibility. In Trafford the largest proportion of Universal Credit claims are in the “No work requirements” category however there is also a large proportion of claims under “Searching for work”. In Old Trafford, 44% of Universal Credit claimants were under “No work requirements” whilst 24% where “Searching for work”. In Partington, 55% of claims were under “No work requirements” whilst 15% under “Searching for work”, and 14% of claims were under “Working - no requirements”.

Claimants moving across from legacy benefits to Universal credit and new applications are increasing the number of claimants with no work requirements. Claimants with a disability or health condition which prevents them from working or if they provide care for at least 35 hours a week are not be asked to work. In Jun 2025, 48% (10,162) of claims in Trafford were under “No work requirements”, 19.5% (4,125) were under “Searching for work”, 15.2% (3,213) were under “Working - no requirements”, 11.4% (2,405) were under “Working - with requirements”, 5% (1,048) were under “Preparing for work”, and 1% (205) where under “Planning for work”.

Households on Universal Credit can access additional entitlements for children, health and disabilities, housing, and carers, at the top of the standard allowance. Each household can receive more then one entitlement. As a consequence of the Covid-19 pandemic the number of entitlements showed a sudden increase whilst at the same time the proportion of household receiving entitlements decreased indicating a larger number of claims not receiving additional entitlements.

As claimants are migrating from legacy benefits to Universal Credit and new claims are reported, the number of household receiving an entitlement have been increasing.